http://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2011/12/14/beliefs-which-are-always-wrong/ As advertised Wed, 17 Dec 2014 04:51:36 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ http://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2011/12/14/beliefs-which-are-always-wrong/#comment-89 Tue, 04 Sep 2012 04:15:00 +0000 http://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/?p=10#comment-89 I think the problem is that MIM is a hack intended to allow holding judgments about anything, even where deductive judgments are unavailable or impossible, by hiding behind the vagueness of probabilities. But Godelian considerations of the kind you describe show that it’s impossible to have even probabilistic judgments that avoid these problems, so MIM is not that useful. It’s necessary to accept incompleteness, the situation where some statements can’t be judged at all (while working on a given decision problem), and instead of trying to make vague unfounded judgments about those statements, it’s necessary to find other statements that are helpful for the problem at hand, but don’t necessarily characterize those original unknowable statements.

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